🎯 Other
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before 1AM Nov 4

Live
Resolves Nov 4, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$221
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%. Kalshi has moved down 20pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 1AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$221
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen