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Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — StepFun
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.
About this market
If StepFun has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — OpenAI
89%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Anthropic
81%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Xiaomi
64%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Google
54%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Z AI
27%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Meta
19%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Alibaba
18%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — xAI
17%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Tencent
14%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — DeepSeek
12%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Moonshot AI
11%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — MiniMax
9%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Mistral
8%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — NVIDIA
8%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — Thinking Machines
6%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — InclusionAI
6%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? — IBM
2%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen