Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats? — Netanyahu bloc

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

88%

12%

No (12%)Yes (88%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%. Kalshi has moved up 46pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?

Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats? — Opposition bloc

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

88%

probability of YES

Kalshi

88%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$19k

Liquidity$16k

CategoryOther

StatusOpen