🗳️ Elections
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Troy Jackson

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$155
Liquidity
$695

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.

About this market

If Troy Jackson's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Tina Kotek
96%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Peggy Flanagan
38%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Keisha Lance Bottoms
37%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Kathy Hochul
35%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Abdul El-Sayed
27%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Angie Nixon
25%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Chris Pappas
24%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — David Jolly
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
81%Check
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Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$155
Liquidity$695
CategoryElections
StatusOpen