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Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Israel First
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$214
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Israel First has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Yisrael Beiteinu
99%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
99%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Ra'am
99%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Likud
98%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Together
98%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Yashar
97%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Shas
95%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — United Torah Judaism
91%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — The Democrats
91%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Otzma Yehudit
90%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — RZP-Zehut
84%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Reservists–Economic Party
22%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — People of Israel
22%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — New Economic Party
14%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Zehut
6%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Haredi Public
6%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Unity
5%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Zionist Home–The Reservists
3%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Religious Zionist Party
2%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — A Place for All of Us
2%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Blue and White
2%
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Noam for Israel
1%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$214
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen