🗳️ Elections
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Live
Resolves Oct 3, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$52k
Liquidity
$47k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%.

About this market

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Renan Santos
3%
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Ronaldo Caiado
2%
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Romeu Zema
1%
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? — Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 3, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$52k
Liquidity$47k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen