🗳️ Elections
Who will Trump pardon?
Who will Trump pardon? — Sam Bankman-Fried
Live
Resolves Jan 21, 2029KalshiVolume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 33%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will Trump pardon?
Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump Jr.
62%
Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump
53%
Who will Trump pardon? — Barron Trump
50%
Who will Trump pardon? — Scott Bessent
49%
Who will Trump pardon? — Eric Trump
48%
Who will Trump pardon? — Jared Kushner
48%
Who will Trump pardon? — Keonne Rodriguez
43%
Who will Trump pardon? — Pete Hegseth
42%
Who will Trump pardon? — Susie Wiles
41%
Who will Trump pardon? — JD Vance
40%
Who will Trump pardon? — Elizabeth Holmes
40%
Who will Trump pardon? — Torence Hatch
38%
Who will Trump pardon? — Jho Low
37%
Who will Trump pardon? — Marco Rubio
37%
Who will Trump pardon? — Steve Bannon
36%
Who will Trump pardon? — Prakazrel Michel
35%
Who will Trump pardon? — Tim Leissner
35%
Who will Trump pardon? — Todd Blanche
35%
Who will Trump pardon? — Eric Adams
34%
Who will Trump pardon? — Robin Smith
33%
Who will Trump pardon? — Ghislaine Maxwell
32%
Who will Trump pardon? — Larry Householder
31%
Who will Trump pardon? — Pam Bondi
31%
Who will Trump pardon? — Edward Snowden
28%
Who will Trump pardon? — Elon Musk
27%
Who will Trump pardon? — Derek Chauvin
27%
Who will Trump pardon? — Bob Menendez
26%
Who will Trump pardon? — Sean Combs
25%
Who will Trump pardon? — Justin Sun
25%
Who will Trump pardon? — Kisean Anderson
25%
Resolution
Jan 21, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen