🎯 Other

Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If a Category 3 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 8, 2026 at 8:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen