🗳️ Elections

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

Live

Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

11%

89%

No (89%)Yes (11%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

11%

probability of YES