Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

10%

90%

No (90%)Yes (10%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 10%. Polymarket has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.