🎯 Other

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3
Liquidity
$270

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 34%. Polymarket has moved up 16pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3
Liquidity$270
CategoryOther
StatusOpen