⚽ Sports
Test Match: South Africa vs Australia

Will Australia win?

Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$805
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 49%.

About this market

This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 9 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

All outcomes · Test Match: South Africa vs Australia

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
49%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$805
Liquidity$2k
CategorySports
StatusOpen