⚽ Sports
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
Will Bia Mesquita win by KO or TKO?
Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 28%. Polymarket has moved down 22pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bia Mesquita defeats Macy Chiasson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
All outcomes · UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
68%
Will the fight end before Round 3?
57%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
55%
Will the fight be won by submission?
50%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
38%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
38%
Will the fight be won by decision?
38%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 1?
36%
Will the fight end before Round 2?
34%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 2?
32%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
32%
Fight to Go the Distance?
31%
Will Macy Chiasson win by KO or TKO?
30%
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
30%
Will Bia Mesquita win in Round 3?
28%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 2?
27%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 3?
27%
Will Macy Chiasson win in Round 1?
27%
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategorySports
StatusOpen