⚽ Sports
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$33
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 51%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francis Marshall defeats Gaston Bolaños at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
All outcomes · UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 1?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 3?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 1?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 2?
50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
50%
Will the fight end before Round 3?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 2?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 3?
50%
Will the fight end before Round 2?
50%
Will the fight be won by decision?
50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds
50%
Will the fight be won by submission?
50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win by KO or TKO?
50%
Fight to Go the Distance?
32%
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$33
CategorySports
StatusOpen