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2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$365k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 28%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
28%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$365k
CategorySports
StatusOpen