🗳️ Elections

Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?

Live
Resolves Oct 20, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 75%.

About this market

If the taking effect of CMS-2451-F in at least one U.S. jurisdiction on October 13, 2026 is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
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probability of YES
Kalshi
75%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen