🎯 Other

Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$291

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 23%. Polymarket has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$291
CategoryOther
StatusOpen