Will Lady Gaga appear at the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show?
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 13%.
About this market
Netflix's NFL Christmas Day games are scheduled to be played on December 25, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A person will be considered to appear in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show if they appear live and in person on the official broadcast within one of the following areas: i) the field of play, including the end zones; ii) any surrounding field-level areas below the first level of stands, such as the sidelines, areas behind the end zones, and tunnels leading directly onto the field; or iii) any set, stage, rig, or platform built for the Halftime Show, wherever it stands in the stadium. No particular activity is required, and the length of the appearance does not impact resolution. The official broadcast refers to Netflix's primary telecast of its National Football League games played on December 25, 2026. A Halftime Show is the entertainment program staged at the stadium between the second and third quarters of a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game and presented in the official broadcast, from the start of the program to its conclusion. The following will not qualify absent an appearance in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show as defined above: attendance at a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game; an appearance on the official broadcast outside the designated areas, including in the stands, a suite, or another spectator area; an appearance before a Halftime Show begins or after it ends, including a rehearsal or soundcheck; or an appearance that is not live and in person, including a pre-recorded segment, a remote, satellite, holographic, or digitally projected appearance, or an artificial simulation or recreation of the listed person. If the official broadcast is unavailable for any period during a Halftime Show, an appearance occurring only during that period qualifies only if the NFL or Netflix releases video of the listed person a