🗳️ Elections
Berlin State Election Winner

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Live
Resolves Sep 20, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
63%
No
37%
No (37%)Yes (63%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$18k
Liquidity
$57k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 63%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

All outcomes · Berlin State Election Winner

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
63%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$18k
Liquidity$57k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen