Will Madison fall below 30°F before November 2026? — Below 30°F

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%.

About this market

If the minimum official hourly temperature reported by The Weather Company for Dane County Regional Airport (KMSN), Madison, WI, during From this market's issuance (its Market Open Time), inclusive, through November 1, 2026 at 12:59:59 AM EDT, inclusive, corresponding to the end of October 31, 2026 in America/Chicago. Observations before issuance do not count. is strictly below 30 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.