Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?

Live

Resolves Nov 1, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

45%

55%

No (55%)Yes (45%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 45%.

About this market

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.