🗳️ Elections

Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

88%

12%

No (12%)Yes (88%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%. Kalshi has moved up 60pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any party identified in an Argentine prosecutor's formal criminal accusation concerning Sea Lion oil development as Navitas Petroleum LP, Navitas Petroleum Development & Production Ltd., Navitas Petroleum Atlantic United, or a director, manager, or administrator of one of those entities has been formally charged with any crime in Argentina after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.