🗳️ Elections
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$136k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 38%. Polymarket has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

All outcomes · Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$136k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen