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Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — Anthropic

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2040Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$58k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — OpenAI
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2040
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$58k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen