🗳️ Elections
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

All outcomes · Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen