🗳️ Elections
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$262
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 46%. Kalshi has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — Before Jan 1, 2027
16%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
46%
probability of YES
Kalshi
46%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$262
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen