₿ Crypto
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$99k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$99k
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen