Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027? — Before 2027

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

96%

No (96%)Yes (4%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

4%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$72k

Liquidity$282k

CategoryCrypto

StatusOpen