Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

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Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

95%

No (95%)Yes (5%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.