Crypto

Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
$405
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart. The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$405
Liquidity$1k
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen