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Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — Before Jul 1, 2028

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$31

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — Before Jan 1, 2029
92%
Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — Before Jan 1, 2028
84%
Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — Before Jul 1, 2027
24%
Will the FDA approve retatrutide? — Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
88%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$31
CategoryOther
StatusOpen