🗳️ Elections

Will the French United Left primary be canceled?

Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
92%
No
8%
No (8%)Yes (92%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$706

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 92%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held after Issuance and before Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
92%
probability of YES
Kalshi
92%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$706
CategoryElections
StatusOpen