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Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 23?

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 23?

Closed
Resolves Oct 23, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
0%
No
100%
No (100%)Yes (0%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$811
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 0%.

About this market

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on 23 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Fahrenheit. The qualifying value is converted using °F = °C × 9/5 + 32 and rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Fahrenheit value determines which range contains it. For example, 18.3°C is 64.94°F and counts as 65°F; 17.8°C is 64.04°F and counts as 64°F; 19°C is 66.2°F and counts as 66°F; −22.5°C is exactly −8.5°F and counts as −8°F. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to

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Avg probability
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probability of YES
Polymarket
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Resolution
Oct 23, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$811
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusClosed