📊 Macro
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$23k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$23k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen