Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?

Live

Resolves Oct 12, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (1%)Yes (99%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.