🗳️ Elections
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.

About this market

If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
35%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen