🗳️ Elections
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17k
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 14%. Polymarket has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen