🗳️ Elections
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$79k
Liquidity
$72k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 95%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$79k
Liquidity$72k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen