🗳️ Elections

120th Congress: Will Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot?

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$332

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.

About this market

If Hakeem Jeffries is elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives on the first ballot of the Speaker election at the opening of the 120th Congress before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$332
CategoryElections
StatusOpen