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🗳️ Elections
2028 Democratic presidential nominee

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom

Live
Resolves Nov 7, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$80k
Liquidity
$5.6m

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2028 Democratic presidential nominee

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff
25%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Pete Buttigieg
5%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Kamala Harris
5%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Andy Beshear
5%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Josh Shapiro
5%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — James Talarico
4%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Mark Kelly
4%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Wes Moore
3%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Raphael Warnock
3%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Abdul El-Sayed
2%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — J.B. Pritzker
2%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Rahm Emanuel
2%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Ro Khanna
2%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Michelle Obama
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Cory Booker
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Mark Cuban
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Ruben Gallego
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Bernie Sanders
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gretchen Whitmer
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Roy Cooper
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Elissa Slotkin
1%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Chris Van Hollen
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Sherrod Brown
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Barack Obama
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Stewart
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Adam Hamilton
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — John Fetterman
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Phil Murphy
0%
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Abigail Spanberger
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
13%Check
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Resolution
Nov 7, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$80k
Liquidity$5.6m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen