Predictboard ·
🗳️ Elections
2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance

Live
Resolves Nov 7, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$130k
Liquidity
$2.3m

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio
22%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ron DeSantis
18%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tucker Carlson
4%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Glenn Youngkin
3%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Thomas Massie
3%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ted Cruz
3%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Joe Kent
3%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Brian Kemp
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Nikki Haley
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — John McEntee
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marjorie Taylor Greene
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump Jr.
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Donald J. Trump
2%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Byron Donalds
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ivanka Trump
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Josh Hawley
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Rand Paul
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Spencer Pratt
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tom Cotton
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Pete Hegseth
1%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tulsi Gabbard
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Katie Britt
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Chris Christie
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — John Kennedy
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Greg Abbott
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Jeff Bezos
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Steve Bannon
0%
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Matt Gaetz
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
34%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 7, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$130k
Liquidity$2.3m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen