🎯 Other
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.75% or above
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$688
Liquidity
$84
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved down 48pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.5% or above
98%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2% or above
97%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.75% or above
95%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.75% or above
94%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4% or above
91%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.5% or above
90%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.25% or above
90%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.5% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.75% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.25% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.25% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.25% or above
88%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7% or above
84%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.75% or above
77%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.5% or above
75%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 8% or above
62%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.25% or above
54%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5% or above
40%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.5% or above
38%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.5% or above
23%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.75% or above
23%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6% or above
22%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.25% or above
12%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3% or above
2%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$688
Liquidity$84
CategoryOther
StatusOpen