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30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.75% or above

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
94%
No
6%
No (6%)Yes (94%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 94%. Kalshi has moved up 36pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5% or above
99%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2% or above
99%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.5% or above
98%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.5% or above
93%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.5% or above
91%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.25% or above
90%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.75% or above
90%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4% or above
90%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.25% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.75% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.75% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.5% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 8% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.25% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.75% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.75% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.25% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.5% or above
89%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3% or above
85%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7% or above
84%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.5% or above
81%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.25% or above
70%
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.25% or above
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
94%
probability of YES
Kalshi
94%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen