🗳️ Elections
Alabama Senate margin of victory

Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 17+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
53%
No
47%
No (47%)Yes (53%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$70

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 53%.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alabama by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Alabama Senate margin of victory

Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 19+ pts
95%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 15+ pts
67%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 21+ pts
48%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 13+ pts
37%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 25+ pts
30%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 31+ pts
22%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 27+ pts
20%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 29+ pts
14%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 23+ pts
5%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 33+ pts
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
53%
probability of YES
Kalshi
53%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$70
CategoryElections
StatusOpen