🗳️ Elections
Alabama Senate margin of victory

Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 31+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$426

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 22%.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alabama by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Alabama Senate margin of victory

Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 19+ pts
95%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 15+ pts
67%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 17+ pts
53%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 21+ pts
48%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 13+ pts
37%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 25+ pts
30%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 27+ pts
20%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 29+ pts
14%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 23+ pts
5%
Alabama Senate margin of victory — Moore, 33+ pts
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Kalshi
22%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$426
CategoryElections
StatusOpen