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🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Dan Sullivan

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$22k
Liquidity
$318k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Mary Peltola
70%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Gerald Heikes
1%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Daniel J. Sullivan
1%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Sid Hill
0%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Richard Grayson
0%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Ann Diener
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
30%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$22k
Liquidity$318k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen