🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Dan Sullivan

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$51k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%. Kalshi has moved down 10pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Mary Peltola
74%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Daniel J. Sullivan
1%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Richard Grayson
0%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Ann Diener
0%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) — Sid Hill
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
27%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$51k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen