🗳️ Elections

Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?

Live
Resolves Jan 6, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
53%
No
47%
No (47%)Yes (53%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$40
Liquidity
$75

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 53%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
53%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 6, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$40
Liquidity$75
CategoryElections
StatusOpen