🗳️ Elections

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$340

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$340
CategoryElections
StatusOpen