🗳️ Elections
Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 14+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 4+ pts
100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 8+ pts
100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 2+ pts
100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 6+ pts
100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 10+ pts
100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 18+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 12+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 28+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 16+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 30+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 20+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 34+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 22+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 32+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 24+ pts
0%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory — Cotton, 26+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen