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Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lionel Messi

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Lionel Messi is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Harry Kane
97%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lamine Yamal
89%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Kylian Mbappé
85%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Dayot Upamecano
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Gabriel
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Sadio Mané
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Marc Cucurella
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Marquinhos
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Julián Quiñones
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Willian Pacho
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — João Neves
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Nuno Mendes
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — William Saliba
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Luis Díaz
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Vinícius Júnior
66%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Achraf Hakimi
65%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Lautaro Martínez
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Bruno Fernandes
64%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Declan Rice
51%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Rodri
12%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Ousmane Dembélé
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Fabián Ruiz
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Erling Haaland
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Michael Olise
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Vitinha
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Jude Bellingham
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Pau Cubarsí
1%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers — Ferran Torres
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
16%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$13k
CategorySports
StatusOpen