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Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Erling Haaland

Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Erling Haaland is ranked top 5 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Harry Kane
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Kylian Mbappé
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lamine Yamal
96%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lionel Messi
68%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Rodri
63%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
43%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Michael Olise
41%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Ousmane Dembélé
27%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Fabián Ruiz
14%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Jude Bellingham
9%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Vitinha
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Declan Rice
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Pau Cubarsí
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Julián Quiñones
5%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — João Neves
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Luis Díaz
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Ferran Torres
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Sadio Mané
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — William Saliba
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Marc Cucurella
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Dayot Upamecano
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Nuno Mendes
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Willian Pacho
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Marquinhos
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Gabriel
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Achraf Hakimi
3%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lautaro Martínez
3%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Vinícius Júnior
2%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Bruno Fernandes
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$4k
CategorySports
StatusOpen